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World Series Game 1 Best Bets: Bet on Betts and the Dodgers

The 2020 World Series begins Tuesday evening from Arlington, Texas at the brand spanking new Globe Life Field.

Globe Life Field was originally built for the Texas Rangers, but the Los Angeles Dodgers have made it their home for the past week, as the NLCS took place at the same park the World Series will commence at.

In theory, that should give the Dodgers a slight advantage as their batters have had a chance to settle into their temporary new gigs, whereas the Rays have only experienced the new park through what limited batting practice sessions the team has turned in.

No matter what park tonight’s game will take place in, tonight’s pitching matchup figures to be a doozy as Rays’ ace Tyler Glasnow gets the ball in Game 1 and goes up against future Hall of Famer Clayton Kershaw.

Glasnow has turned into the face of the Rays rotation and the staff’s ace.  Despite the Rays playing in seven consecutive days, Glasnow comes into this game surprisingly well-rested.

Kershaw, of course, will be under a constant microscope in this series due to the Dodgers, and Kershaw’s, shortcomings in past October’s.

A strong start to the series would only help his confidence moving forward.  He looked dominant in the playoff opener against Milwaukee before getting rocked in the NLCS against the Braves, which Kershaw will show up tonight?  That could not only dictate the outcome of the series opener, but the World Series as a whole.

The Dodgers appear to have a heavy advantage offensively in this series, as they enter the World Series ranked first in slugging percentage, ISO, and wRC+, compared to the Rays who are 15th, 9th, and 9th respectively in each of those categories.  But you don’t need deep-diving analytics to spot the very apparent differences between the two lineups.

Young Tyler Glasnow will have his hands full in his first-ever World Series start, and for once, Clayton Kershaw may actually not be under as much intense pressure to win a playoff game as this Dodgers team has proven it can still advance in the playoffs with a struggling Kershaw, though this is still a potentially large game in the grand scheme of things.

Kershaw has certainly struggled in Game 1’s in his career, as he has posted an ERA close to 6 in said performances, but this Rays lineup has struggled to generate consistent offense outside of dynamo Randy Arozarena.

A Dodgers attack paced by Mookie Betts at the top of the lineup with red-hot bats from Cody Bellinger and Corey Seager, along with other threats like Justin Turner, Max Muncy, and Will Smith will force Tyler Glasnow to pitch one of the best games of his life for the Rays to come out on top.

Not saying he can’t do it, just that it’s probably not a very likely situation.

This is a huge start for Clayton Kershaw, and if he is to come out and pitch a gem in Game 1, it could very well set the tempo for the entire series.  This feels like a matchup that could potentially spiral out of control in a hurry if the Rays bats do not make the trip to Arlington.  Clayton Kershaw putting together a vintage performance could go a long way towards putting that plan into motion.

A key tell to how this game may go, and this could be of interest to our live bettors out there, when the Rays have allowed three runs or less this postseason they are 7-0.  The Dodgers, by that same metric, are 8-0.  However, when allowing four runs or more, Tampa Bay is just 2-5 and Los Angeles is just 1-3.  The team that can get to that magic marker of four runs is likely winning this game.

The David vs. Goliath matchup starts out with Goliath landing a Game 1 victory.  Bet the Dodgers every way possible.  Also, go ahead and jump on the over.

The Hook Predicts: Dodgers 8, Rays 4
The Hook Best Bets:  Dodgers ML (-165), Dodgers -1.5 (+135), OVER 7.5 (-105)

 

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